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Solar Flare Dependency: A Numerical Study

Presentation #103.01 in the session The Sun and Solar System.

Published onJul 01, 2023
Solar Flare Dependency: A Numerical Study

As machine learning methods become more prevalent within the solar flare prediction community, a complete understanding of the distributions which govern the flare process is needed for appropriate statistical modeling. In order to analyze the dependency structure that subsequent flares exhibit, we adopt the use of hypothesis testing to identify time intervals which flaring events are highly dependent as well as time intervals where they appear to be independent events. Information from this analysis could be implemented to improve operational solar flare prediction systems where forecasts are constantly updated with the most up to date information.

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